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XRP is flashing one of its most extreme bearish sentiment signals in years, even as the broader cryptocurrency market stabilizes around Bitcoin (BTC)’s recent strength. Social data shows retail traders turning sharply negative after months of price decline, pushing sentiment into what analysts call a “FUD zone.” Historically, similar conditions have often preceded short-term rebounds.

XRP sentiment drops into extreme fear zone

According to the data shared by Santiment on April 13, the ratio of positive to negative XRP commentary has fallen to its third-lowest level in the past two years. The shift follows a prolonged downturn that has seen the token lose roughly 63% over the past nine months.

The firm tracks millions of social media posts daily, and its latest reading shows bearish commentary dominating across platforms like X and Reddit. This level of pessimism has only been recorded twice before in recent cycles, both times followed by noticeable price recoveries.

Santiment argues that sentiment extremes often act as contrarian indicators. When retail traders become overwhelmingly bearish, the probability of a relief rally tends to increase as positioning becomes one-sided.

Price struggles persist despite early positive signals

Despite the sentiment setup, XRP remains under pressure. The token is trading around $1.33, down 4.1% over the past month and still far below its 2025 peak near $3.65. Technical analysts are watching the $1.39 level closely, with a break above it seen as a potential shift in short-term trend.

Nonetheless, XRP is already up 0.1% on the day, reducing to 1.5% the accumulated decline from the past week, according to the most recent price chart information.

Some early signs of renewed interest include spot XRP funds recording over $9 million in inflows on April 10, marking their strongest day in months and helping reverse a period of weak activity.

For now, XRP sits at a familiar crossroads: weak price action paired with extreme bearish sentiment. If historical patterns hold, that combination could set the stage for a bounce, but confirmation will likely depend on broader market momentum, especially moves in Bitcoin.