XRP At A Crossroads: Two Scenarios For Crypto Traders

In Brief

• An analyst outlines two bullish XRP paths with different risk profiles.
• A deeper drop (~$0.60) could allow higher upside (~$11).
• A milder pullback (~$0.90) may cap gains near ~$8.50.

XRP is approaching a key inflection zone, with one analyst outlining two possible macro paths: a deeper drop to $0.60 with upside toward $11, or a shallower retrace to $0.90 capped near $8.50. The structure is based on long-term Fibonacci levels and historical breakout behavior. For cryptocurrency traders, the difference between these scenarios could determine both risk exposure and upside potential in the next cycle.

XRP: Two Paths, Two Outcomes For Traders

In an X post on February 13, renowned crypto trading expert EGRAG CRYPTO has presented two macro structures for XRP, both rooted in long-term chart symmetry and Fibonacci extensions, but with very different psychological and profit implications.

Chart 1: Maximum Pain, Maximum Expansion

The first chart sees a potential bottom at around $0.60, with the upside target at about $11 (1.618 extension zone), a deeper drawdown, high fear and disbelief, and weak hands flushed out.

This scenario suggests a sharper capitulation before a large expansion. Historically, violent retracements often reset positioning and liquidity before stronger upside continuation.

For traders, this path means greater short-term pain but higher long-term upside if the structure holds.

Chart 2: Less Pain, Lower Ceiling

According to the second chart, the potential bottom stands at approximately $0.90, looking at an upside target of around $8.50, with a milder retracement, more comfort, crowded positioning, and a lower upside ceiling.

Here, XRP avoids a deep flush but potentially limits upside extension. The move remains bullish, just more controlled and possibly less explosive.

For traders, this implies reduced downside volatility but tighter upside expectations.

At the moment, XRP is changing hands at the price of $1.40, up 0.4% in the last 24 hours, down 7.5% across the week, and declining 35.1% over the past month, according to the most recent chart information.

*XRP price 7-day chart. Source:* *CoinGecko*

What This Means For Crypto Traders

With both scenarios remaining structurally bullish, the core difference is how much drawdown the market tolerates before expansion.

A deeper reset could create stronger long-term positioning. A shallower correction may attract more participants earlier but cap risk-reward. Emotional discipline may determine who captures the full move.

The key zone to monitor now is how XRP behaves near current structural support levels and whether buyers defend higher lows or allow a broader retrace.

All things considered, XRP’s next cycle may not be about whether it rallies, but how much pain precedes the move.