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Why Bitcoin Looks Weak Today But Strong Long-Term

Why Bitcoin Looks Weak Today But Strong Long-Term

Why Bitcoin Looks Weak Today But Strong Long-Term

Bitcoin (BTC)’s recent price action has been marked by hesitation, but the forces shaping the market today look very different from past cycles, with short-term pressure remaining, yet the longer-term foundation appears stronger than it was heading into previous rallies.

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As it happens, the market is still absorbing the effects of a major deleveraging event that unfolded in October 2025. That reset forced leveraged players across exchanges and market-making desks to reduce exposure, removing excess risk from the system.

Though painful at the time, it left the market operating with lower leverage and a more cautious risk profile, according to the observations shared by popular cryptocurrency trading expert Ali Martinez in an X post on January 29.

October’s Reset Is Still Playing Out

The October unwind did not resolve overnight. Reduced leverage means fewer forced liquidations, but it also means less speculative momentum. Bitcoin is still trading in that environment: one where upside moves develop more slowly, and conviction builds incrementally as opposed to explosively.

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That dynamic helps explain why the price has not fully responded to improving macro and institutional signals. The market is healthier, but also more restrained.

Bitcoin daily chart.
Bitcoin daily chart. Source: Ali Martinez

Indeed, BTC is currently trading at $87,703.36, down 2% in the last 24 hours, losing 2.4% across the previous seven days, and declining 0.2% over the past month, according to the latest price chart data.

Bitcoin price 30-day chart.
Bitcoin price 30-day chart. Source: CoinGecko

Institutional Interest Is No Longer Hypothetical

At the same time, Bitcoin’s underlying fundamentals have clearly improved. Institutional involvement is no longer framed as a future possibility. Large financial firms are now openly discussing tokenization and digital assets as part of mainstream finance.

At the World Economic Forum (WEF) in Davos, BlackRock CEO Larry Fink described digital assets and tokenized markets as necessary components of the future financial system. That shift in tone matters as it reflects a change in how traditional finance views blockchain: no longer as an experiment, but now as infrastructure.

Capital Rotation Is Masking Strength

Another reason Bitcoin has lagged is capital rotation. Precious metals, particularly gold and silver, have attracted significant attention and liquidity. For investors using leverage or managing risk across portfolios, exposure to metals naturally limits allocations to other assets, including crypto.

1-year capital rotation.
1-year capital rotation. Source: Ali Martinez

Historically, strong moves in gold and silver have often preceded crypto expansions rather than replaced them. When metals cool or consolidate, capital has tended to rotate back toward Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH).

For now, Bitcoin remains caught between short-term caution and long-term structural support. The price may look undecided, but the broader setup suggests the market is consolidating strength and not losing it.

Bitcoin Price Today


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