Dogecoin Crash Incoming – Then Moonshot?

Dogecoin (DOGE) is facing consolidation after a massive 30% jump earlier this month.

Analyst Trader Tardigrade has warned of a potential lower low echoing past cycles, but sees it as a setup for a massive rally. With oversold signals flashing, traders are wondering if this meme coin could explode amid exchange-traded fund (ETF) inflows and Elon Musk’s influence.

Dogecoin’s Weekly Chart Hints at Familiar Pattern

Cryptocurrency analyst Trader Tardigrade shared a weekly DOGE/USD analysis in an X post on January 20, highlighting historical moves where slight lower lows preceded explosive surges. The chart shows DOGE in a descending wedge since mid-2025, with red arrows marking past dips followed by green upward trajectories.

$Doge/weekly
What if #Dogecoin follows its previous moves?
We might see a slightly lower low before the next massive surge 🔥 pic.twitter.com/7bpCr10ntF

— Trader Tardigrade (@TATrader_Alan) January 20, 2026

Current price hovers around $0.13, down 2.3% in the last 24 hours but up over 7% year-to-date, per recent data. Weekly RSI has dipped into oversold territory for only the fourth time ever, a signal that historically triggered parabolic runs.

*Dogecoin price year-to-date (YTD) chart. Source:* *CoinGecko*

Replies to the post speculate bottoms at $0.11 and tops at $1.6, reflecting community optimism. Broader sentiment includes Dogecoin’s official account celebrating rescues and institutional adoptions.

We did it! A5745484 (now Sherman) is free! people power works 💪 #DoOnlyGoodEveryday https://t.co/paRlCMHabH

— Dogecoin (@dogecoin) January 7, 2026

ETFs for DOGE saw inflows alongside Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH), boosting liquidity.

Why a Lower Low Could Spark Dogecoin’s Next Boom

This pattern suggests a test of supports around $0.12-$0.13 before breaking out. If history repeats, a 520% push could target $0.80, smashing all-time highs. Analysts forecast $0.16-$0.175 by month-end, with averages at $0.127.

Bearish MACD and Supertrend resistance at $0.16 add caution, but Bitcoin’s uptrend provides tailwinds. Elon Musk’s ongoing nods and X integrations could catalyze adoption, pushing beyond $0.20.

For investors, this dip offers entry before potential 100%-500% gains, outperforming amid the altcoin season. Still, volatility remains, and a break below $0.12 risks a deeper correction.