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Data Shows Bitcoin is Set to outperform Gold in 2026

Bitcoin and a gold bar with a green arrow pointing upwards

Data Shows Bitcoin is Set to outperform Gold in 2026

In Brief

  • • Gold strongly outperformed Bitcoin in 2025, hitting multiple all-time highs.
  • • Prediction data suggests Bitcoin could outperform gold and the S&P 500 in 2026.
  • • A potential rotation of capital from gold into Bitcoin could pump Bitcoin in 2026.

Gold has made a major mark in 2025, reaching several new all-time highs while Bitcoin continues to struggle to this moment. Fortunately for Bitcoin investors, data reveals that the digital asset is set to outshine gold in 2026.

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The prediction data released by Polymarket compares Bitcoin’s predicted price gain in 2026 against those of gold and S&P 500. The prediction suggests that Bitcoin will get a 42% gain, gold will gain 32%, while S&P 500 will gain 25%, which is great news for bitcoin investors who have seen one of the most brutal years in the asset’s history.

Bitcoin Loses Against Gold in 2025

The year 2025 held a lot of promise for the crypto industry, but this promise has not materialized into practical growth. Although Bitcoin reached a new all-time high, the gains were quickly erased and a recovery seems far from reality even as the year is approaching its end. On the contrary, gold has seen its best year ever.

It reached $4,000 for the first time in history and has also reached new price levels, currently heading to $4,500. Historically, such a good year for gold would potentially lead to a great year for bitcoin, but 2025 has been different. Rather than follow in gold’s footprint, Bitcoin has suffered a terrible fate, currently locked in a range it is too weak to break out of.

The poor performance of the asset has attracted criticisms from Bitcoin antagonists like Peter Schiff who said the coin is not likely to catch up with Bitcoin because it is not the “digital gold” that its proponents claim it is. He has also claimed that Bitcoin will fail and advised holders to sell their stash and buy gold and silver instead.

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Altcoins have also been affected by this Bitcoin weakness, causing them to crash to an all-time low.  Experts say such a crash could be preparing the way for a rebound leading to an altcoin season. As the year is only seven days away from ending, this could also be referring to a rally in 2026, just like Bitcoin.

2026 Could be Good for Bitcoin

Bitcoin usually attracts money that goes into gold rallies, often having an inflated impact. With gold’s massive rally this year, such a fund rotation into Bitcoin will potentially be significantly big, with its ripple effect felt in altcoins.

Experts say just 3% of gold’s money could push Bitcoin’s price to over $200,000. If a bigger percentage should circle back, this could have more impact, making 2026 really good for the crypto market. 

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