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BTC breakout in progress – but one key level decides it all

BTC breakout in progress - but one key level decides it all

BTC breakout in progress – but one key level decides it all

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Amid the slow recovery that some of the assets in the cryptocurrency market have been demonstrating in the last couple of days, Bitcoin (BTC) is at a crossroads, and one key price level has appeared as the deciding factor, which could send it either way.

Specifically, popular crypto trading expert Ali Martinez has observed that Bitcoin was “breaking out of its channel,” possibly downwards, and targeting $106,000 and $100,000 as its next levels, according to a chart analysis he shared in an X post on August 27.

Bitcoin price analysis and prediction. Source: Ali Martinez
Bitcoin price analysis and prediction. Source: Ali Martinez

On the other hand, fellow analyst Egrag Crypto noted that “reclaiming $115K on the weekly time frame would indicate strong bullish momentum and pave the way for a continued upward trend.” As he pointed out, $104,000 was the last line of defense, and maintaining it would help it reach a new all-time high (ATH).

Bitcoin price analysis and prediction. Source: Egrag Crypto
Bitcoin price analysis and prediction. Source: Egrag Crypto

Bears vs. bulls fight it over $115K level

In other words, bulls need a strong, volume-backed close above $115,000 to confirm the upside. Bears gain the edge if BTC drops below $110,000 – $112,000, which could lead to tests of $106,000 and $100,000, with $104,000 a key support to watch.

For the time being, the flagship decentralized finance (DeFi) asset is changing hands at the price of $111,086.50, indicating a 0.65% advance in the last 24 hours, but still hanging onto the accumulated loss of 2.25% on its weekly chart and the 6.48% decline across the previous 30 days.

Bitcoin 24-hour price chart. Source: CoinMarketCap
Bitcoin 24-hour price chart. Source: CoinMarketCap

Meanwhile, BTC is on the verge of a major shift that could also determine the fate of altcoins in 2025. Notably, BTC dominance was recently seen hovering around 58.55% after failing the break through the 62.5% resistance zone touched in August and Egrag Crypto predicted that the next time it approached “could signal the EPIC Fall we’re all waiting for!”

As it happens, factors that could help Bitcoin move in a more positive direction include institutional support, exemplified by Goldman Sachs recently increasing its BTC holdings by $194 million, bringing the total supply under its control to $470 million-worth of Bitcoin.

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